JEREMY'S DAILY JEWELS
I normally don’t put much stock in home/away splits; however, there are certain players where the difference in their shooting percentages are hard to ignore (I see you Jamal Murray, Ish Smith, Elf Payton, Anthony Davis, Robin Lopez, and Lance “Make Em Dance” Stephenson).
Peripheral stats can vary a lot, so I mainly look at shooting percentages here. I never use these stats as a reason to play somebody, I use them as a reason not to play somebody.
Home and away differences below reflect a player’s game situation for Monday’s slate.
There are plenty of injury situations to attack on Monday’s slate, and with not a ton of superstars, AD looks to be the top play – it’s just a shame he’s now at center on FD. Without Boogie Cousins on the court, Davis is scoring 1.72 Fanduel points per minute, which is absurd. Utah has been getting roasted by opposing centers in their last four contests, too.
Centers vs. Utah
LaMarcus Aldridge (Pau out) – 31 pts, 5 reb, 3 ast, 3 stl, 2 blk
Dragan Bender (Len and Monroe out) – 16 pts, 9 reb, 5 ast, 1 blk
Jonas Valanciunas – 28 pts, 14 reb, 4 blk
Andre Drummond – 30 pts, 24 reb, 4 ast, 3 stl, 6 blk
The Washington Beals are playing their best ball of the year right now. Although their opponent on Monday, the Indiana Oladipos, are not a team we like to pick on too much in dfs, they still can be attacked on the wings. Brad Beal and Otto Porter’s prices both dropped on Fanduel, making each of them top-notch plays on Monday. Porter averaged over 1.0 Fanduel points/minute in his two matchups last season in Indy.
Depending on the status of Hassan Whiteside and Aaron Gordon, there could be lots of value in the Miami-Orlando game. If Whiteside is out, I will go right back to Kelly Olynyk and maybe even Bam Adebayo.
If Gordon sits again, Elf, Mario Hezonja, and Jonathon Simmons all get the biggest boosts and will enter my player pool, although I try to avoid playing guys against Miami at all costs.
To Rubio or to not Rubio?
Ricky Rubio is coming off a career-high 34 points on Saturday and is playing his best ball of the season – by far. His matchup against the Pellys is so-so, as they rank middle-of-the-pack (16th) in DVOA to point guards over the last two weeks.
Rajon Rondo is a poor individual defender (def. rating of over 111 on the season), but don’t make the rookie mistake of thinking that correlates directly to opposing PG’s dfs production against New Orleans. More times than not, it’s about how well a team defends a particular position, and one player’s defensive rating has zero bearing on how many assists, rebounds, steals, etc. their opponent picks up. Not to mention Rondo is only seeing about 20 minutes a game now-a-days.
With that said, I do like the Rubio play on Monday and he’ll be in my player pool for sure. Ricky gets a boost if Donovan Mitchell plays too, as Mitchell commands special attention from defenses. Rubio started off the season priced higher than his current tag of $7K.
Don’t forget about Utah big men Derrick Favors and Rudy Gobert who both saw their prices go down. Unfortunately, center on Fanduel is beyond loaded for Monday, so tough decisions will need to be made.
No Kris Dunn and no Finnish Freak (Markkanen) for Chicago, but unfortunately, the price of a ticket on the Bobby Portis express just got a lot more expensive. He’s still a fine play against Sac-Town, but no longer a lock-and-load. I really like Robin Lopez too, but again – another center!
While at first Monday’s slate on Fanduel may seem daunting because of all the great plays at center, I think having that many options at one position gives a huge advantage to those of us who do our research. My advice would be: don’t fall in love with any center and build around him on Monday. Instead, narrow it down to two or three options and make sure you build a lineup with strong plays at every other position.
B2B/3in4 for Charlotte
4th in 6 days for Miami
Let’s Talk About Pace, Baby:
Since January 1.
Anddddd the Mavs and Kings get the dope matchups. Go figure.
You can follow Jeremy on Twitter @zinneDFS