DAILY DUNKS WITH DOTO
It’s a new year and there is only one thing that I want to do in 2018 and that is to win money and make the super computers explode with anger. Tonight, every game has an over/under over 206 which means there will be a ton of fantasy points being scored. I will be stacking the Minnesota/Los Angeles and Orlando/BK game with a little exposure to the other games. Let’s bring in the new year with a bang (that’s what she said) and let’s take a look at the first slate of 2018. Good luck everyone!
Kris Dunn - It doesn’t matter to me who is starting at point guard for Portland, Kris Dunn should feast tonight. The Bulls are on a back to back but that doesn’t bother me with a young player. In six of his last seven games he has scored over 36 fantasy points and he will see over 30 minutes. Over his last three games he has shot the ball over 17 times, if he is staying aggressive he should be in for a big night tonight. Dunn gives us safety and on a small slate that we need in cash games.
Shabazz Napier - Let’s hope that Dame Lillard takes another night off. Shabazz has been solid over the last four games, he has scored over 33 fantasy points in all four starts. Kris Dunn is a good defender but I am thinking he will guard McCollum and that will free up Shabazz. He will play big minutes and he is at a good price for cash games.
Other plays I like: Tyus Jones or Spencer Dinwiddie, Tyler Ennis
Jimmy Butler - I never thought I’d see the day that Jimmy Butler played under 30 minutes but last night it happened! That’s pretty much a night off for him so tonight he will be fresh to play close to 40 tonight if not the whole game because Tom Thibodeau is a mad man and I love it for DFS. This game has a nice over/under of 218 and Butler will be the one leading the way tonight. With no KCP tonight for the Lakers, he should dominate Josh Hart.
Evan Fournier - Fournier is too cheap on DK at $5,900 but his home road splits do scare me a little bit. He is a better shooter at home, 50% FG and 47% from three compared to 46% and 37% on the road. However, against the Nets (in two games) he has average 25 points, seven rebounds, four assists and two steals. He should be a lock for at least 30 fantasy points tonight and if that happens the Frenchmen can eat all the crepes that Brooklyn has to offer tonight.
Other plays I like: Josh Hart, Caris LeVert, Khris Middleton
Small forward tonight will determine if you win or lose money. Behind door A is the safe route. You can play it safe and go with Giannis or you can go for door B. What’s behind door B you ask? Mostly a headache because there are about five or six players who are priced the same that are basically the same player and on most nights they will make you want to slam your head into the door. The choices behind this door are Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (his two games against ORL, he averaged 12/4/4), Aaron Gordon (in his only game against BK he went for 41 and 14), Kyle Kuzma, Brandon Ingram or Jonathan Simmons. Gordon is the most expensive but he has a huge ceiling but that ceiling can come crashing down quick if he plays poorly. Kuzma and Ingram will play a ton of minutes but the Lakers are playing three games in four nights. RHJ has been consistent of late but his minutes will range from 21-36 and that is hard to count on in cash games. Jonathan Simmons has a usage rate around 20 and that scares me tonight and then there is Andrew Wiggins who is sitting there as the cheapest option. He is a one trick pony and he has hasn’t score above 37 fantasy points in over a month. If you are feeling frisky tonight play Aaron Gordon but if you want to play it safe I would recommend playing one of the Lakers because of the minutes they will see.
Julius Randle - Here are his minutes in the last three games, 11, 29 and 33. If Luke Walton can play him 25 minutes, he will smash tonight. However, Luke Walton is leader of the I hate Julius Randle fan club and could play him eight minutes and ruin all of our dreams. When Randle is on the court, he is the best player on the Lakers. It makes no sense, if they want to trade him, play him big minutes to boost his value. If they want to lock him up, why wouldn’t they play him? It’s a headache but his price makes for him to be a cash game play tonight. It’s risky but if you play Aaron Gordon tonight you should add Julius Randle because of their upside and they could lead us all to glory tonight.
Taj Gibson - In their only game against the Lakers this year, Gibson put up 23 points and grabbed nine rebounds. He’s going to play big minutes and with the highest over/under tonight he is a play for cash games. The best part about playing Gibson is he won’t kill our lineups. I am feeling a little frisky today but I won’t get crazy with every play. Safe sex Gibson will be in my cash game lineups.
Other plays I like: Lauri Markkanen, Al-Farouq Aminu
Karl Anthony-Towns - The biggest concern with KAT is how many shots he will get a game. He hasn’t shot the ball over 12 times in the last five games. I think Jeff Teague being out is hurting him on the offensive side of the ball but even with the low usage rate he is still getting us fantasy points. Minnesota get a huge bump in pace (20th to 1st) and nobody on the Lakers can stop him. Let’s just hope he takes over this game.
Bismack Biyombo - Biyombo does two things really well on the basketball court, gets rebounds and block shots. He will grab us double digit boards and get a handful of blocks tonight. This game will be fantasy goodness and I will be looking to get as many players as possible from it. If Biyombo can score 10 points tonight, we will be bringing in the new year with the sexual juices flowing!
Other plays I like: Jonas Valanciunas
Dunks of the night: Jimmy Butler, Evan Fournier and Aaron Gordon
You can follow Lawrence on Twitter @lawrencedoto and reach him in Slack @Lawrence Doto