JEREMY'S DAILY JEWELS
while doing my research for the upcoming DFS slate in a new DGCourtroom.com feature called: Jeremy’s Daily Jewels.
If the fragile and seemingly broken down Myles Turner does indeed sit out on Friday night, the kid Domantas Sabonis becomes a near must-play on Fanduel. Damo started eight games for the injured Turner earlier in the season and averaged 13 points and 11 rebounds, totaling 31 FD points per contest. The son of no other than the Lithuanian Legend himself, Arvydas Sabonis, Damo’s clearly got the bloodlines working for him.
Since we have a pretty good sample size to look at, it’s obvious that all of Indiana’s starters will benefit without Turner on the floor. Vic Oladipo, sitting at a true shooting percentage of 59.1%, could be in line for a monster game here at home. Here’s a look at their Usage and Field Goal Percentage in the eight games Myles has missed:
On the Cleveland side, once again we’ll look towards the obvious plays in LeBron James, Kevin Love, and even Dwayne Wade. Probably my favorite play on the Cavaliers side would be Love, who’s now posted four straight double-doubles. With his price falling a little on Fanduel, the weather forecasters are saying there’s a very strong chance that love will be in the air this evening in Indianapolis.
Unfortunately, the sample size for the Orlando Magic having both Evan Fournier and Terrence Rozay off the floor is too small for us to gather any type of usage bump information. The projected starting five of Elfrid Payton, Aaron Afflalo, Jonathon Simmons, Aaron Gordon, and Nikola Vucevic has only played together for 6 minutes this season. Fanduel really jacked up the prices of all the Magic starters so there’s no must-plays on their side of the ball.
Every single player with a pulse is in play against the Orlando Magic lately, but especially those at the guard positions. It’s possible that coach Mike Malone started Will Barton over Mason Plumlee last game to counter the Pelicans’ smaller lineup without AD. I almost expect them to roll out Wilson Chandler, Kenneth Faried, and Plumlee at the forwards and center positions, sending Will the Thrill back to the bench. This wouldn’t change much as I’ll still be targeting Jamal Murray and Gary Harris the heaviest, while giving Barton some consideration.
Since Nikola Jokic went down, Harris has put up games of 41, 34, 39, and 39 on Fanduel. It can be argued that he is still wayyyy to cheap at only $6.9K.
It is completely asinine that Fanduel would lower Al Horford’s price by $400 after he’s put up no less than 38 fantasy points in each of his last four games. In light of that, let’s take a look at some other pricing discrepancies between Fanduel and DraftKings. Guys with a lower “Diff” (difference), and especially a negative value, are much better plays on Fanduel. A higher value means they should be played on DraftKings instead.
The Hornets will be without the services of Cody Zeller and Frank “The Tank” Kaminsky, meaning starters Dwight Howard and Marvin Williams could see a few extra minutes and Howard might play more down the stretch if the game’s close. Johnny O’Bryant and Treveon Graham will fill in at the 4 and 5 spots off Charlotte’s bench, but friends shouldn’t let friends play the Graham cracker or Kobe’s Irish son on this slate.
Over the past eight days, the Detroit Pistons have yielded the 6th most Fanduel points per minute to their opponents. The numbers show they have been especially bad against the SF and PF position, but part of that may have to do with the fact they’ve faced Ben Simmons, LaMarcus Aldridge, and Giannis Antetokounmpo during that span. Regardless, Kevin Durant and Draymond Green will both be top plays in this matchup. Klayton Thompson will be a tier or two below, mainly because of the depth of the SG position tonight. Money Green was born and bred in the D-Town area (Saginaw).
Zach Randolph is out there. DeMarcus Cousins should still feast in this matchup against his former team, and Rajon Rondo has traditionally been one to excel when the pace is slower.
Z-Bo, whose price has risen sharply on Fanduel, is not quite the plug-and-play he was in his last game against Cleveland although he still should put up between 30-40 fantasy points.
A somewhat sneaky play (hopefully) will be Tyreke Evans at the SG position. ‘Reke has been playing phenomenal since being inserted into the starting lineup and his dud last game against the Knicks has kept his price down on both sites. On the season, there’s been 20 times where Toronto has allowed an opponent to record over 40 Fanduel points, and 9 of those players have been listed at the SG positon. While Evans appears in the starting lineup as the PG, it’s very noteworthy that he spent almost 20 minutes playing the 2-guard last game while Andrew Harrison ran the point.
The Hornets, Bulls, Cavaliers, Grizzlies, Magic, and Spurs all play again on Saturday.
Toronto should be very well rested, having only played one game in the last six days.
Let’s Talk About Pace, Baby:
DEN (13) @ ORL (6)
GSW (5) @ DET (22)
CLE (14) @ IND (9)
CHI (20) @ CHA (10)
TOR (11) @ MEM (30)
DAL (24) @ MIL (27)
SAC (28) @ NOP (7)
BOS (23) @ SAS (29)
(League rank as of 12/07)
I’d love to hear any discussion about the slate in the comments section below.
You can follow Jeremy on Twitter @zinneDFS