JEREMY'S DAILY JEWELS

 

 

Throughout this NBA season I’ll be sharing some interesting notes and quotes I come across while doing my research for the upcoming DFS slate in a new DGCourtroom.com feature called: Jeremy’s Daily Jewels.

 

 

Notes:

 

Before we dig into Friday’s slate, go ahead and lock James Harden of the Chris Paul-less Rockets into your lineups and then resume reading. You’re welcome. My PayPal is open for tips.

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Eric Gordon will start at SG for the injured Paul and sixty-four-year-old Nene will start at center for the injured Clint Capela. It appears the NBA dfs world has become overwhelmed with tin-foil hatted “revenge game” truthers lately. So if you hear anyone call this a “revenge game” for Gordon (who left L.A. 6 years ago), please never take another thing they say about dfs seriously. It’s just the laziest analysis you can possibly give and means nothing 98.4% of the time. It’s a great matchup for E-Gordon because of his price and inferior opponent. <end/rant>

 

The Grey Beard, Nene, reminds me of a character in a movie. He’d be an old, wise man whom the protagonist often goes to visit at dusk when seeking advice. He also probably spends his time alone, on a beach, blowing on the dankest kush all day. If we were to consult the ever-knowing Grey Beard on Friday, he’d tell us to stop over-thinking and take Nene’s 20-25 Fanduel points for only $3.7K.

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P.J. The Mother Tucker will get all the run his NFL linebacker-looking body can handle off the bench for the shorthanded Rockets. Tucker is a swiss-army knife for the Rockets, having spent time at SG, SF, PF, and C this season. Without Luc Mbah a Moute and Capela available, P.J. is underpriced for his role and workload.

 

Both Brad Beal and Otto Porter are questionable for the Wiz prior to their game in Brooklyn. If Beal or both are ruled out, John Wall becomes another cash-money play at PG. The Wallstar would still be in a great spot if only Porter is out, as would SF Kelly Oubre Jr. and PF Mike Scott.

 

One of the Wizards beat reporters noted that Wall boarded the team plane to BK wearing a $1,000 Gucci fanny pack (the same one Chipotle Addict has). How does he not score 40 now?

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Normally we’d hide and shutter in fear at the prospects of a Dallas versus Miami matchup but that shouldn’t necessarily be the case for the injury-ridden Heat. If Goran Dragic sits again that means another gigantic workload and 35+ minute night for Tyler Johnson. His price is up to $6K on FD but that still doesn’t put him out of play. Last year as a bench player, Johnson’s price hovered right around $6K for most of the season. Tyler is not a terrible play, but I prefer saving over $2K on another value PG that we’ll get to later.

 

Dallas has not been good at defending forwards all season; however, they are improving against big guys as they continue to shuffle their frontcourt rotation. Still, if Justise Winslow remains sidelined, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, and Jordan Mickey will split up all 96 minutes at the 4 and the 5 spots. At $6.8K on FD, Kelly O might just be a little too pricey for my taste.

 

If Dragic is out, I like Josh Richardson even more than Tyler (who’s the same price). J-Rich is getting his time to shine while running the Heat offense and enjoying his run as the go-to guy for the time being. Don’t get it twisted, once Miami regains full strength Richardson will go back to being un-rosterable in dfs.

 

Over the last three games while the Heat have been depleted, J-Rich’s 1.13 Fanduel points/minute is on par with guys like DeMar DeRozan, Kyrie Irving, and Dame Lillard – meaning he’s playing like an $8K to $9K guy we can roster for $6K. It’s simple math.

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Are J-Rich and Andrew Wiggins the only real ones left rocking the braids in the NBA?! (Now that Jeremy Lin got rid of his).

 

The Pelicans should be well rested – having only played one game in their past five days. They draw the premier dfs matchup in Orlando who’s allowing the most overall Fanduel points per minute on the season and the second most over the last week. The Magic are also the worst rebounding team in the league.

 

Anthony Davis is vastly outperforming Boogie Cousins right now, but just like years past he can’t seem to make it through a game without a locker room visit. Somebody get this dude a bubble so he stops injuring himself.

 

Bubble Boi AD

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 Keep an eye out on the status of Rajon Rondo who left the Pelly’s last game with a leg injury. If he’s out, Jrue Holiday gets a big bump, Jameer Nelson becomes an interesting value play, and Boogie Cousins returns to his point-center role.

 

If for any reason the struggling Kristaps Porzingis gets scratched in Detroit, the hottest player in the league Mr. MVP Michael Beasley will be sure to seize the opportunity. B-Easy’s usage is 31% without Porzingy and Tim Hardaway Jr. on the floor.

 

Dame Lillard will be out for the Blazers on Friday meaning Shabazz Napier at $3.7K on Fanduel becomes a premier value. ‘Bazz drew two starts late last season in-place of Dame and racked up 43 and 31 fantasy points. He’s also scored in double-digits the last two games.

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If you guarantee he wears the t-shirt under his jersey I’ll 100% roster him.

 

Without Dame on the court, C.J. McCollum’s usage increases by 6% to 31%.

 

Jusuf Nurkic’s shooting percentage without Dame is only 37.5% compared to 47% with him.

 

It is never a bad idea to play Kevin Durant… when the Warriors are short-handed… at home… versus the Lakers. I’ll love him more if Draymond Green is ruled out again. On my initial look at the slate I love both KD and Giannis Antetokounmpo (the Hornets really stank right now and the Greek Mutant should eat).

 

If Dray and Zaza Pachulia are both out, I think it’s safe to go back to the well with Jordan Bell (sounds like a cheesy segment on your local news). His price is still low and he’s locked into minutes in the mid-20’s. Bell is still averaging over 1 fantasy point per minute against the Lakers in two matchups this year.

 

Without Brook Lopez the rest of the Lakers’ player’s prices haven’t risen yet (except for Kyle Kuzma) so there is value to be had on their side as well. At point I really like Lonzo Ball in this matchup with the Steph Curry-less Warriors. The #LonzoOnTheRoad narrative is real, folks.

 

I *heart-eyes emoji* playing Brandon Ingram after his price drops this season. Ingram was not involved in the offense last game and shot poorly while struggling with Houston’s rugged wing defenders. I’ve read multiple quotes throughout the season from him and Coach Luke Walton (booooooos from the crowd) talking about how Ingram makes a real concentrated effort to play better after his bad games. He’s already dropped 45 and 50-point FD bombs on Golden State this year.

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Did you guys know Luol Deng is still on the Lakers? I forgot he was alive for a couple months.

 

Also at SG you have to love Kentavious Caldwell-Pope whose price, down at $5.5K on Fanduel, is much, much lower than his blood-alcohol content.

 

One of the things you always need to be cognizant of in dfs is price drops. The longer you play, the more you’ll come to realize the edges that can be had. If you find that rare jewel whose price has dropped on both FD and DK, it’s more than likely time to lock-and-load if everything else lines up for that player.

 

Green indicates a price drop on that site and purple means the price is up from the last game.

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Back2Back Watch:

 

The Knicks are on the second night of a back-to-back set.

 

The Hawks, Nets, Hornets, Mavericks, Nuggets, Warriors, Clippers, Lakers, Heat, Bucks, Pelicans, Thunder, Magic, Blazers, and Wizards all play again on Saturday.

 

 

Let’s Talk About Pace, Baby:

 

NOP (6)          @        ORL (7)

NYK (19)       @        DET (21)

WAS (16)       @        BKN (2)

CHA (9)          @        MIL (23)

LAC (17)        @        HOU (8)

DAL (24)        @        MIA (22)

ATL (12)        @        OKC (26)

DEN (14)        @        POR (18)

LAL (1)          @        GSW (5)

 

(League rank as of 12/21)

 

 

I’d love to hear your take on Friday’s slate or any feedback in the comments section below.

 

You can follow Jeremy on Twitter @zinneDFS