JEREMY'S DAILY JEWELS
Throughout this NBA season I’ll be sharing some interesting notes and quotes I come across while doing my research for the upcoming DFS slate in a new DGCourtroom.com feature called: Jeremy’s Daily Jewels.
Without Rudy Gobert in the lineup, targeting players on the Utah Jazz has suddenly become a profitable strategy in dfs – as has targeting players on the opposing team. In an up-tempo matchup against the team with the highest turnover percentage in the league, you have to love Donovan Mitchell. “Spida” Mitchell recorded 3 steals in his last game, and Utah actually snatches the 2nd most steals per game in the league. Since entering the starting lineup 6 games ago, Mitchell is averaging 18 points, 4.3 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 1.8 steals.
Rodney Hood has been straight fire over his last 3 games – going 15-30 from three-point territory and putting up two 30-real-life point games. There’s no reason to think he’ll slow down in Philly.
We love to play big men against the Sixers, and Derrick Favors is coming in fresh off his 48-Fanduel point gem on Saturday. Favors shot 10-12 from the field and got to the hole whenever he felt like it against the Magic. He now has recorded two games of more than 46 Fanduel points since Gobert went down. The only thing working against Favors in this matchup is the potential for getting into foul trouble against Joel Embiid.
We should still be caution with Ricky Rubio, who only saw 16 minutes of action on Saturday night as he battles a lingering Achilles injury. Rubio has not recorded double-digit assists since October 25. Mitchell is handling the ball as much as Rubio, and even when Ricky has the rock in his hand, it’s usually because the team is running a play for Mitchell.
Ben Simmons is absolutely unstoppable right now, having shot better than 50% from the field in each of his last 3 games. A nightly triple-double threat, Simmons is seeing between 35-40 minutes and is more than capable of paying off his hefty $10.3K salary on Fanduel. Even as the 6th most expensive player on the slate, Simmons is still one of the safest plays you can make.
After signing a lucrative 4-year contract extension, Robert Covington has set out to prove he’s worth the money – shooting 12-24 on three-pointers over his last 3 games. The Jazz are allowing opponents to shoot 39% from downtown, the 3rd highest percentage in the league. Ro-Co is a safe bet to get you between 30-40 fantasy points on most nights.
With Iman Shumpert being ruled out of Monday’s contest, it was announced that Jose Calderon will start for the Cavaliers. Even at the bare minimum price on Fanduel, Calderon will still not be a fantasy option – having not recorded over 14 minutes of action yet this season (include a start).
We can expect LeBron James to run the point even more, with Dwyane Wade seeing additional ball handling duties off the bench. The Cavs are still turning to their favorite lineup consisting of James, Wade, Kyle Korver, and Jeff Green down the stretch. In the fourth quarter and overtime on Saturday against the Clippers, Coach Ty Lue finally played Kevin Love at the center spot instead of Channing Frye, who he’d been rolling with the past few games.
Despite winning their last 4 games, the Cavaliers still rank dead last in team defensive rating.
Tobias Harris will again be a solid mid-range option on Monday’s slate. It is a little concerning to see that Tobias has cooled down a little from his early season shooting terror – going only 1-5 and 2-7 from long distance in his last two.
Reggie Jackson struggled through the first three quarters on Sunday in Minneapolis, but turned it up in the fourth to lead the Pistons to a comeback victory. Andre Drummond also played a key role down the stretch, putting up his 12th double-double of the season. Avery Bradley continued his hot shooting, going over 50% from long distance for the 3rd consecutive game.
Coach Stan Van Gundy has not seemed to be too pleased with Jackson’s play up to this point, putting him at risk of getting bench for Ish Smith anytime he happens to have a bad quarter. If we roster Reggie on Monday, hope his 4th quarter performance carries over from Sunday so that won’t even be an issue.
It appears that Myles Turner is finally fully recovered from his concussion, after his dynamic 52 Fanduel point outing Sunday. He now gets a matchup against Orlando who’s Kleenex-soft on the interior. Turner has 3 or more blocks in each of his last five games and Orlando is 29th in the league in rebounding.
It will be tempting to play Andrew Wiggins on this slate. Wiggins has put up back-to-back super solid outings without his price rising on Fanduel. It is concerning that the Timberwolves are playing on the second night of a B2B and it will also be their third contest in four days. Wiggins and Jimmy Butler played 41 minutes on Monday night, Jeff Teague played 39, and Karl Anthony-Towns played 38.
Patrick Beverley should return to action for the Clippers Monday in New York City. This would put a damper on the fantasy prospects for Louis Williams and Austin Rivers (if anyone was actually playing him), and should cut down Blake Griffin’s ball-handling duties and usage rate slightly. If we happen to get news of Beverley being held to a minute restriction below 20, then Sweet Lou would still make for a fine tournament play. Opponents are shooting the most 3-pointers per game against the Knicks.
Keep an eye out for news on Tim Hardaway Jr. who’s currently listed as questionable with a foot injury. On Twitter, @IanBegley also revealed that Kristaps Porzingis has been dealing with some swelling in his elbow – likely resulting from a hard fall where he may have re-aggravated an injury from last season. Porzingis claims that he’s “Almost back to normal.”
Even in a blowout loss to the Dallas Mavericks, Bucks Coach Jason Kidd elected to play Giannis Antetokounmpo for 39 minutes on Saturday. In that same game, the Greek Freak also recorded his highest usage rate since the team acquired Eric Bledsoe. Bledsoe, however, was in foul trouble throughout. Regardless, Giannis is in a great spot on Monday – back at home in an up-tempo game against the Wizards.
John Wall sat out the Wizards game on Sunday, but is expected to return to action on Monday, sending Tim Frazier back to the bench. Coach Scott Brooks told the Washington Post: "Just playing it safe. We got three games in four nights, so we’re going to sit him out (Sunday) and see how he feels (Monday). It’s a great chance there that he will play."
Anthony Davis has cleared the league’s concussion protocol and was only diagnosed with a facial contusion. It will be important for us to check the news after shootaround on Monday to get an update on AD’s status. If he does start and is full-go, he’ll be in a great spot to dominate against the Thunder.
If we think the Hawks and Spurs game stays close, I have no problem turning to LaMarcus Aldridge in this spot. Luke Babbit and the Hawks have been atrocious in defending power forwards all year, and as a team rank 26th in rebounding percentage.
Opposing point guards are shooting the 3rd highest percentage in the league against the Dallas Mavericks. After shooting only 8-20 and 4-16 in his first two games, Kyrie Irving finally grew comfortable with the mask and dominated against the Hawks – shooting 10-12 from the field, 5-6 on three-pointers, and 5-5 from the line. Uncle Drew might have a lesson or two in store for the youngin’ Dennis Smith Jr.
After the bogus ejection on Sunday night, Nikola Jokic could come out angry and looking to unleash his fury on the Kings. Willie Cauley-Stein could be re-inserted into the starting lineup against the Nuggets, as Coach Dave Joerger told the media he only started De’Aaron Fox against Portland due to matchups. Cauley-Stein played his two best games since opening night when he’s come off the bench, so maybe it would be a wise move to leave him there.
The Pacers, Pistons, Timberwolves, Nuggets, and Wizards are all on the second night of a back-to-back.
The Hornets, Mavericks, Clippers, Timberwolves, Blazers, Kings, Jazz, and Wizards are playing their 3rd game in 4 days.
Let’s Talk About Pace, Baby:
MIN (16) @ CHA (9)
CLE (11) @ DET (22)
IND (8) @ ORL (6)
UTA (24) @ PHI (4)
LAC (17) @ NYK (26)
POR (25) @ MEM (29)
WAS (13) @ MIL (27)
OKC (21) @ NOP (7)
BOS (19) @ DAL (20)
ATL (12) @ SAS (28)
DEN (14) @ SAC (30)
(League rank as of 11/19)
Do you have any takes on this slate? I’d love to hear any feedback in the comments section below.
You can follow Jeremy on Twitter @zinneDFS